This article from last week in the AP concerns itself with the notion that Ron Paul could have an effect on the election in some of the western states.
"In Nevada, there's absolutely enough to have an effect on the election," said Chuck Muth, a leading conservative activist in a state in which early polls show McCain and Democratic candidate Barack Obama in a statistical tie.
Of course it's a long way till them general election and the popular support for outside the mainstream candidates often declines as the election approaches so I have my doubts.
A more interesting quote is this one:
"I think that you will see not just Libertarians who always vote for the Libertarian candidate but conservative Republicans saying we've had it, we've had enough and they're going to go ahead and vote Libertarian," Muth said.
Is the republican party finally showing signs of fracture. Is the small-government wing of the party finally fed-up? Again, I have my doubts but let's hope so.